Schelling's Game Theory: How to Make Decisions (Hardcover)

<內容簡介>

Thomas Schelling, who wrote the foreword for this book, won the Nobel Prize in economics for "having enhanced our understanding of conflict and cooperation through game-theory analysis." This came after he had taught a course in game theory and rational choice to advanced students and government officials for 45 years. In this book, Robert Dodge provides in language for a broad audience, the concepts that Schelling taught. Armed with Schelling's understanding of game theory methods and his approaches to problems, the general reader can improve daily decision making.

Mathematics often make game theory challenging but was not a major part of Schelling's course and is even less of a factor in this book. Along with a summary of the material Schelling presented, included are problems from the course and similar less challenging questions. While considerable analysis is done with the basic game theory tool -- the two-by-two matrix -- much of the book is descriptive and rational decision-making is explained with stories. Chapter supplements are added to illuminate points presented by Schelling, including writings by Paul Krugman, Thomas Friedman, Steven Levitt, and others.

<章節目錄>

foreword by Thomas C. Schelling

Chapter I Thomas Schelling and His Signature Course on Strategic Thinking

Part One: The Schelling Approach to Strategic Thinking and Decision-Making

Chapter 2 Introduction to Strategic Thought

Chapter 3 Vicarious Thinking

Chapter 4 Game Theory

Chapter 5 The Two-By-Two Matrix

Part Two: Strategies and Tactics

Chapter 6 Strategies Defined and Illustrated

Chapter 7 Tactics

Chapter 8 Self-Command

Part Three: Models as Metaphors For What Decisions Do

Chapter 9 Interaction Models

Chapter 10 The Dollar Auction

Chapter 11 Musical Chairs and Inescapable Mathematics

Part Four: The Prisoner's Dilemma, Competition and Cooperation

Chapter 12 The Prisoner's Dilemma

Chapter 13 Cooperation

Chapter 14 Coordination

Part Five: Individual Decisions and Group Agreement

Chapter 15 Collective Choice and Voting

Chapter 16 The Commons and Fair Division

Chapter 17 Case Study, Overcoming Professional Basketball's Commons Dilemma:
The Phil Jackson Story

Part Six: Decisions that Mix and Sort Populations, Decisions Based on
Randomization

Chapter 18 Critical Mass and Tipping

Chapter 19 Individual Decisions and Group Outcomes

Chapter 20 Randomization in Decision-Making

Part Seven: Case Study and Review

Chapter 21 Case Study, The Cuban Missile Crisis: Analysis and Review