Blunt Instrument: Why Economic Theory Can't Get Any Better...Why We Need It Anyway
暫譯: 鈍器:為什麼經濟理論無法更進一步...我們為什麼仍然需要它

Rosenberg, Alex

  • 出版商: MIT
  • 出版日期: 2025-03-18
  • 售價: $1,310
  • 貴賓價: 9.5$1,245
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 256
  • 裝訂: Hardcover - also called cloth, retail trade, or trade
  • ISBN: 0262049651
  • ISBN-13: 9780262049658
  • 海外代購書籍(需單獨結帳)

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商品描述

Why economic theory--with no track-record of predictive success--is still an indispensable tool for protecting civilized life.

Economic theory has never gotten any better at prediction. Its explanations are always after the fact. The mathematical models economists have devoted themselves to for more than a century can't be improved to enhance their empirical relevance. But from this research program that never paid off, a very useful tool has emerged--game theory. It's just what civilized society needs to protect itself from the rapaciousness that condemns all markets to fail. In Blunt Instrument, Alex Rosenberg helps explain to outsiders exactly what they need to make sense of economic theory, and why despite its failures, it's still indispensable.

Economic theory is something we all should understand because the economy affects us all, and it is economic theorists who shape that economy for good or ill. No less an economist than John Maynard Keynes expressed the point in a memorable quotation: "Practical men, who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist." This book draws back the curtain from the math and the graphs that deliver microeconomic and macroeconomic models. It demystifies the formidable-looking equations, explaining the reasoning behind the math so that outsiders can decide on the theory's importance to their own thinking about the economy. Finally, it shows how game theory--the study of strategic choice--emerged from the outlandish idealizations of economic theory. Most importantly, it illuminates how game theory both mitigates the failures of real-world economies and improves the design of important human institutions.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

為什麼經濟理論——儘管沒有預測成功的紀錄——仍然是保護文明生活不可或缺的工具。

經濟理論從未在預測方面有所進步。它的解釋總是事後諸葛。經濟學家們投入超過一個世紀的數學模型無法改善以增強其實證相關性。然而,從這個從未帶來回報的研究計畫中,出現了一個非常有用的工具——博弈論。這正是文明社會所需要的,以保護自己免受那些注定使所有市場失敗的貪婪行為。在Blunt Instrument中,Alex Rosenberg幫助外部人士理解他們需要什麼來理解經濟理論,以及為什麼儘管它的失敗,它仍然是不可或缺的。

經濟理論是我們所有人都應該理解的,因為經濟影響著我們所有人,而塑造這個經濟的正是經濟理論家,無論是好是壞。約翰·梅納德·凱恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)這位經濟學家曾以一句難忘的名言表達這一點:“實際的男人,認為自己完全不受任何智力影響,通常是某位已故經濟學家的奴隸。”這本書揭開了微觀經濟和宏觀經濟模型背後的數學和圖表的面紗。它揭示了那些看似艱深的方程式,解釋了數學背後的推理,使外部人士能夠決定該理論對他們思考經濟的重要性。最後,它展示了博弈論——戰略選擇的研究——是如何從經濟理論的荒謬理想化中產生的。最重要的是,它闡明了博弈論如何減輕現實世界經濟的失敗,並改善重要人類機構的設計。

作者簡介

Alex Rosenberg is R. Taylor Cole Distinguished Professor of Philosophy at Duke University, with secondary appointments in the biology and political science departments. He has held fellowships with the National Science Foundation, the American Council of Learned Societies, and the Guggenheim Foundation. In 1993 Alex received the Lakatos Award in the philosophy of science. He has authored more than a dozen academic books, several historical novels, and hundreds of academic papers.

作者簡介(中文翻譯)

亞歷克斯·羅森伯格(Alex Rosenberg)是杜克大學(Duke University)R. 泰勒·科爾(R. Taylor Cole)哲學傑出教授,並在生物學和政治學系擔任副職。他曾獲得美國國家科學基金會(National Science Foundation)、美國學術協會(American Council of Learned Societies)和古根漢基金會(Guggenheim Foundation)的研究獎學金。1993年,亞歷克斯獲得科學哲學的拉卡托斯獎(Lakatos Award)。他著有十多本學術書籍、幾部歷史小說以及數百篇學術論文。