Artificial Intelligence and the Two Singularities
暫譯: 人工智慧與兩個奇點

Calum Chace

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The science of AI was born a little over 60 years ago, but for most of that time its achievements were modest. In 2012 it experienced a big bang, when a branch of statistics called Machine Learning (and a sub-branch called Deep Learning) was applied to it. Now machines have surpassed humans in image recognition, and they are catching up with us at speech recognition and natural language processing. Every day, the media reports the launch of a new service, a new product, and a new demonstration powered by AI. When will it end? The surprising truth is, the AI revolution has only just begun.

Artificial Intelligence and the Two Singularities argues that in the course of this century, the exponential growth in the capability of AI is likely to bring about two "singularities" - points at which conditions are so extreme that the normal rules break down. The first is the economic singularity, when machine skill reaches a level that renders many of us unemployable and requires an overhaul of our current economic and social systems. The second is the technological singularity, when machine intelligence reaches and then surpasses the cognitive abilities of an adult human, relegating us to the second smartest species on the planet.

These singularities will present huge challenges, but this book argues that we can meet these challenges and overcome them. If we do, the rewards could be almost unimaginable.

This book covers:

• Recent developments in AI and its future potential

• The economic singularity and the technological singularity in depth

• The risks and opportunities presented by AI

• What actions we should take

Artificial intelligence can turn out to be the best thing ever to happen to humanity, making our future wonderful almost beyond imagination. But only if we address head-on the challenges that it will raise.

Calum Chace is a best-selling author of fiction and non-fiction books and articles, focusing on the subject of artificial intelligence. He is a regular speaker on artificial intelligence and related technologies, and runs a blog on the subject at www.pandoras-brain. com. Prior to becoming a full-time writer and speaker, he spent 30 years in business as a marketer, a strategy consultant, and a CEO. He studied philosophy at Oxford University, where he discovered that the science fiction he had been reading since boyhood was simply philosophy in fancy dress.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

人工智慧的科學誕生於六十多年前,但在大多數時間裡,其成就相對有限。2012年,當一個名為機器學習(Machine Learning)及其子領域深度學習(Deep Learning)的統計學分支被應用於此時,人工智慧經歷了一次大爆炸。現在,機器在圖像識別方面已超越人類,並在語音識別和自然語言處理方面逐漸追趕上我們。每天,媒體報導著由人工智慧驅動的新服務、新產品和新示範。這一切何時會結束?驚人的事實是,人工智慧革命才剛剛開始。

《人工智慧與兩個奇點》主張,在本世紀的過程中,人工智慧能力的指數增長可能會帶來兩個「奇點」——在這些點上,條件極端到正常規則失效。第一個是經濟奇點,當機器技能達到一個水平,使得許多人無法就業,並需要對我們當前的經濟和社會系統進行徹底改革。第二個是技術奇點,當機器智慧達到並超越成年人的認知能力,將我們降級為地球上第二聰明的物種。

這些奇點將帶來巨大的挑戰,但本書主張我們可以迎接這些挑戰並克服它們。如果我們能做到,獲得的回報將是幾乎無法想像的。

本書涵蓋:

• 人工智慧的最新發展及其未來潛力

• 深入探討經濟奇點和技術奇點

• 人工智慧帶來的風險與機會

• 我們應該採取的行動

人工智慧可能成為人類歷史上最美好的事情,讓我們的未來幾乎超乎想像地美好。但前提是我們必須正面應對它所帶來的挑戰。

Calum Chace是暢銷的小說及非小說書籍和文章的作者,專注於人工智慧主題。他是人工智慧及相關技術的定期演講者,並在www.pandoras-brain.com上運行一個相關的博客。在成為全職作家和演講者之前,他在商業界擔任了30年的行銷人員、策略顧問和執行長。他在牛津大學學習哲學,並發現他自少年時期以來閱讀的科幻小說實際上只是穿著華麗服裝的哲學。