Artificial Intelligence and the Two Singularities

Calum Chace

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商品描述

 

The science of AI was born a little over 60 years ago, but for most of that time its achievements were modest. In 2012 it experienced a big bang, when a branch of statistics called Machine Learning (and a sub-branch called Deep Learning) was applied to it. Now machines have surpassed humans in image recognition, and they are catching up with us at speech recognition and natural language processing. Every day, the media reports the launch of a new service, a new product, and a new demonstration powered by AI. When will it end? The surprising truth is, the AI revolution has only just begun.

Artificial Intelligence and the Two Singularities argues that in the course of this century, the exponential growth in the capability of AI is likely to bring about two "singularities" - points at which conditions are so extreme that the normal rules break down. The first is the economic singularity, when machine skill reaches a level that renders many of us unemployable and requires an overhaul of our current economic and social systems. The second is the technological singularity, when machine intelligence reaches and then surpasses the cognitive abilities of an adult human, relegating us to the second smartest species on the planet.

These singularities will present huge challenges, but this book argues that we can meet these challenges and overcome them. If we do, the rewards could be almost unimaginable.

This book covers:

• Recent developments in AI and its future potential

• The economic singularity and the technological singularity in depth

• The risks and opportunities presented by AI

• What actions we should take

Artificial intelligence can turn out to be the best thing ever to happen to humanity, making our future wonderful almost beyond imagination. But only if we address head-on the challenges that it will raise.

Calum Chace is a best-selling author of fiction and non-fiction books and articles, focusing on the subject of artificial intelligence. He is a regular speaker on artificial intelligence and related technologies, and runs a blog on the subject at www.pandoras-brain. com. Prior to becoming a full-time writer and speaker, he spent 30 years in business as a marketer, a strategy consultant, and a CEO. He studied philosophy at Oxford University, where he discovered that the science fiction he had been reading since boyhood was simply philosophy in fancy dress.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

人工智慧的科學誕生於60多年前,但在大部分時間裡,它的成就都很有限。直到2012年,統計學的一個分支——機器學習(以及其子分支深度學習)被應用於人工智慧領域,它才經歷了一次大爆炸。現在,機器在圖像識別方面已經超越了人類,並且在語音識別和自然語言處理方面正在迎頭趕上。每天,媒體都在報導由人工智慧驅動的新服務、新產品和新演示的推出。這一切何時會結束?令人驚訝的真相是,人工智慧革命才剛剛開始。

《人工智慧與兩個奇點》主張,在本世紀的過程中,人工智慧能力的指數級增長可能會帶來兩個「奇點」——在這些奇點下,情況變得極端,正常規則被打破。第一個是經濟奇點,當機器技能達到一個水平,使我們中的許多人無法就業,需要對我們目前的經濟和社會體系進行全面改革。第二個是技術奇點,當機器智能達到並超越成年人的認知能力時,我們將成為地球上第二聰明的物種。

這些奇點將帶來巨大的挑戰,但本書認為我們可以應對這些挑戰並克服它們。如果我們這樣做,回報可能是幾乎無法想像的。

本書涵蓋了以下內容:

• 人工智慧的最新發展及其未來潛力

• 經濟奇點和技術奇點的深入探討

• 人工智慧帶來的風險和機遇

• 我們應該採取的行動

人工智慧可能成為人類有史以來最好的事情,使我們的未來變得美好得幾乎無法想像。但前提是我們必須正視它所帶來的挑戰。

卡倫·查斯(Calum Chace)是一位暢銷小說和非小說作品的作者,專注於人工智慧主題。他是人工智慧和相關技術的常客演講者,並在www.pandoras-brain.com上運營一個關於人工智慧的博客。在成為全職作家和演講者之前,他在商界擔任市場營銷人員、戰略顧問和首席執行官職務長達30年。他在牛津大學學習哲學,並發現自童年以來他一直閱讀的科幻小說只是打扮得花枝招展的哲學。