The Great Inflation Resurgence: Why Inflation Returned in the 2020s and What to Expect Next
暫譯: 通貨膨脹的偉大復甦：為什麼通貨膨脹在2020年代回歸以及接下來的預期

Harr, Thomas, Henderson, Callum

The Great Inflation Resurgence: Why Inflation Returned in the 2020s and What to Expect Next
  • 出版商: Palgrave MacMillan
  • 出版日期: 2024-08-09
  • 售價: $1,580
  • 貴賓價: 9.8 折 $1,548
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 186
  • 裝訂: Quality Paper - also called trade paper
  • ISBN: 3031577655
  • ISBN-13: 9783031577659
  • 相關分類: 經濟學 Economy

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商品描述

This book explores why inflation surged globally in the 2020s, where we are heading and what lessons we can draw from it. Following a decade of too-low inflation, inflation suddenly surged in 2021-22 to its highest levels in 40 years in the US and Europe. The book introduces a simple economic framework and adopts a global perspective to compare the inflation experiences across the US, Europe, and Asia. Among the key questions the authors tackle is 1) why the West suddenly experienced surging inflation when their central banks had been fighting too-low inflation in the 2010s, 2) why so few economists saw the inflation resurgence coming, and 3) why China now faces deflation.

The great inflation resurgence has taught us several key lessons, namely that inflation is a global phenomenon with local characteristics, that economists should rely more on broad economic thinking, and less on models when large shocks occur, and finally that fiscal policy is a major differentiator. The authors, a central banker and an economist on the 'buy side', offer key lessons for both central banks and financial markets while anticipating where inflation might be headed.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

這本書探討了為什麼在2020年代全球通脹激增，我們的未來走向以及我們可以從中汲取的教訓。在經歷了十年的低通脹後，通脹在2021-22年突然飆升，達到美國和歐洲40年來的最高水平。這本書介紹了一個簡單的經濟框架，並採用全球視角來比較美國、歐洲和亞洲的通脹經歷。作者所探討的幾個關鍵問題包括：1）為什麼西方在2010年代其中央銀行一直在對抗過低通脹的情況下，卻突然經歷了通脹激增；2）為什麼如此少的經濟學家預見到通脹的復甦；3）為什麼中國現在面臨通縮。

這次通脹的重大復甦教會了我們幾個關鍵教訓，即通脹是一種具有地方特徵的全球現象，經濟學家在面對重大衝擊時應更多依賴廣泛的經濟思維，而不是模型，最後，財政策略是一個主要的區別因素。作者，一位中央銀行家和一位「買方」經濟學家，為中央銀行和金融市場提供了關鍵教訓，同時預測通脹可能的走向。

作者簡介

Thomas Harr is Chief Economist and Assistant Governor at Danmarks Nationalbank, which is Denmark's central bank, and manages the economic and monetary policy department. Before joining the central bank in 2021, Thomas worked in investment banking for more than 16 years, including roles as Global Head of Research at Danske Bank and Head of Local Market Research at Standard Chartered in Singapore. Thomas holds a master's degree in economics from the London School of Economics and a PhD in economics from the University of Copenhagen.

Callum Henderson is Senior Director, Economic Analysis for CDPQ, Canada's second-largest pension fund, based in Singapore. Prior to joining CDPQ, Callum worked in banking for 17 years, including roles as Global Head of FX Research at Standard Chartered Bank and Head of Emerging Market Research at Bank of America. Callum has an MA in Middle East Politics and Economics from the University of Exeter, a DEF in French Studies from University of Tours, and a BA in Politics, French and Economics from the University of Sunderland.

作者簡介(中文翻譯)

托馬斯·哈爾是丹麥國家銀行（Danmarks Nationalbank）的首席經濟學家及助理總裁，負責經濟與貨幣政策部門。在2021年加入中央銀行之前，托馬斯在投資銀行工作超過16年，曾擔任丹斯克銀行（Danske Bank）的全球研究主管及渣打銀行（Standard Chartered）新加坡分行的本地市場研究主管。托馬斯擁有倫敦政治經濟學院的經濟學碩士學位及哥本哈根大學的經濟學博士學位。

卡倫·亨德森是加拿大第二大退休基金CDPQ的經濟分析高級總監，駐新加坡。在加入CDPQ之前，卡倫在銀行業工作了17年，曾擔任渣打銀行的全球外匯研究主管及美國銀行的新興市場研究主管。卡倫擁有埃克塞特大學的中東政治與經濟碩士學位、圖爾大學的法語研究文憑，以及桑德蘭大學的政治、法語與經濟學學士學位。

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