Simulation, 5/e (Hardcover)
暫譯: 模擬,5/e (精裝版)

Sheldon M. Ross

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商品描述

The 5th edition of Ross's Simulation continues to introduce aspiring and practicing actuaries, engineers, computer scientists and others to the practical aspects of constructing computerized simulation studies to analyze and interpret real phenomena. Readers learn to apply results of these analyses to problems in a wide variety of fields to obtain effective, accurate solutions and make predictions about future outcomes. This latest edition features all-new material on variance reduction, including control variables and their use in estimating the expected return at blackjack and their relation to regression analysis. Additionally, the 5th edition expands on Markov chain monte carlo methods, and offers unique information on the alias method for generating discrete random variables.

By explaining how a computer can be used to generate random numbers and how to use these random numbers to generate the behavior of a stochastic model over time, Ross's Simulation, 5th edition presents the statistics needed to analyze simulated data as well as that needed for validating the simulation model.

 


New to this Edition:

 

 

  • Additional material on variance reduction, including control variables and their use in estimating the expected return at blackjack and their relation to regression analysis
  • Additional material and examples on Markov chain monte carlo methods
  • Unique material on the alias method for generating discrete random variables
  • Additional material on generating multivariate normal vectors
  • "R" software code package on the website the correlates to the specific material in the book
  • Instructors solutions manual
  • Student solutions manual

商品描述(中文翻譯)

《模擬》第五版(Ross's Simulation)繼續向有志於成為精算師、工程師、計算機科學家及其他相關領域的專業人士介紹構建計算機模擬研究的實際方面,以分析和解釋真實現象。讀者將學會如何將這些分析的結果應用於各種領域的問題,以獲得有效且準確的解決方案,並對未來的結果進行預測。本最新版本包含全新的變異數減少材料,包括控制變數及其在估算二十一點(blackjack)預期回報中的應用,以及它們與迴歸分析的關係。此外,第五版擴展了馬可夫鏈蒙特卡羅(Markov chain Monte Carlo)方法,並提供有關生成離散隨機變數的別名方法(alias method)的獨特資訊。

透過解釋如何使用計算機生成隨機數,以及如何利用這些隨機數生成隨機模型隨時間的行為,Ross的《模擬》第五版呈現了分析模擬數據所需的統計學知識,以及驗證模擬模型所需的統計學知識。

本版新增內容:

- 變異數減少的附加材料,包括控制變數及其在估算二十一點預期回報中的應用,以及它們與迴歸分析的關係
- 有關馬可夫鏈蒙特卡羅方法的附加材料和範例
- 有關生成離散隨機變數的別名方法的獨特材料
- 生成多變量正態向量的附加材料
- 與書中具體材料相關的「R」軟體代碼包
- 教師解答手冊
- 學生解答手冊