Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan, 2/e (Hardcover)
暫譯: 統計重思:以 R 和 Stan 為例的貝葉斯課程,第二版 (精裝本)
McElreath, Richard
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商品描述
The very popular Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan, Second Edition builds readers' knowledge of and confidence in statistical modeling. Reflecting the need for even minor programming in today's model-based statistics, the book pushes readers to perform step-by-step calculations that are usually automated. This unique computational approach ensures that readers understand enough of the details to make reasonable choices and interpretations in their own modeling work.
The main changes in the second edition are:
- Map2stan has been replaced by ulam. The new ulam is also much more flexible, mainly because it does not make any assumptions about GLM structure and allows explicit variable types within the formula list.
- Most modeling examples have some prior predictive simulation. This is the most useful addition to the second edition as it helps understanding not only priors but the model itself.
- Chapter 5 on multiple regression has been split into two chapters. The first chapter focuses on helpful aspects of regression. The second focuses on ways that it can mislead.
- Chapter 4 now ends with B-splines. The chapter on count models, Chapter 11, now includes an item-response (factor analytic) example. Chapter 12 contains a survival analysis with censoring. Chapter 14 has an example of a phylogenetic distance regression. The new Chapter 16 focuses on models that are not easily conceived of as GLMMs.
- There are new data examples such as the Japanese cherry blossoms historical time series and a larger primate evolution data set with 300 species and a matching phylogeny.
- There are several places where raw Stan model code is explained inside optional boxes. This makes the transition to working directly in Stan easier but the main text remains R script using the rethinking package's teaching tools.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
非常受歡迎的Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan, Second Edition幫助讀者增強對統計建模的知識和信心。這本書反映了當今基於模型的統計學中,即使是輕微的程式設計需求,並推動讀者進行通常自動化的逐步計算。這種獨特的計算方法確保讀者能夠理解足夠的細節,以便在自己的建模工作中做出合理的選擇和解釋。
第二版的主要變更包括:
- Map2stan已被ulam取代。新的ulam更加靈活,主要是因為它不對廣義線性模型(GLM)結構做任何假設,並允許在公式列表中明確指定變數類型。
- 大多數建模示例都有一些先驗預測模擬。這是第二版中最有用的新增內容,因為它有助於理解不僅是先驗,還有模型本身。
- 第五章關於多重回歸的內容已分為兩章。第一章專注於回歸的有用方面,第二章則專注於回歸可能誤導的方式。
- 第四章現在以B-splines結尾。第十一章關於計數模型現在包含一個項目反應(因子分析)示例。第十二章包含一個帶有審查的生存分析。第十四章有一個系統發育距離回歸的示例。新的第十六章專注於不易被視為廣義線性混合模型(GLMM)的模型。
- 有新的數據示例,例如日本櫻花的歷史時間序列和一個包含300個物種及其相應系統發育的更大靈長類動物進化數據集。
- 有幾個地方解釋了原始Stan模型代碼,這些解釋位於可選的框中。這使得直接在Stan中工作的過渡變得更容易,但主要文本仍然使用rethinking套件的教學工具的R腳本。
作者簡介
Richard McElreath studies human evolutionary ecology and is a Director at the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology in Leipzig, Germany. He has published extensively on the mathematical theory and statistical analysis of social behavior, including his first book (with Robert Boyd), Mathematical Models of Social Evolution.
作者簡介(中文翻譯)
理查德·麥克艾利斯研究人類進化生態學,並擔任德國萊比錫的馬克斯·普朗克進化人類學研究所的主任。他在社會行為的數學理論和統計分析方面發表了大量著作,包括他的第一本書(與羅伯特·博伊德合著)社會進化的數學模型。
